Preface Section 1: Bi in Macro-economic Analysis and Forecasting

نویسندگان

  • Cengiz Kahraman
  • İhsan Kaya
  • Shuhua Liu
  • Mikael Collan
  • Tomas Eklund
  • Peter Sarlin
چکیده

With the rapid development of economic globalization and information technology, economic forecasting is emerging as a rapidly developing research field with wide applicability in business and government. To achieve an advanced position of global economic growth, one must quickly indentify good opportunities and take advantage of them in a fast and effective manner. More and more business organizations and governments are realizing that it is of great importance to make their decisions by using business intelligence (BI) technologies. The main objective of this book is to introduce some BI techniques to economic analysis and forecasting. This book discusses a number of Business Intelligence techniques including neural networks and its various improvements, support vector machine, genetic programming, clustering analysis, TEI@I, fuzzy systems, text mining, etc. These techniques are developed in a variety of domains such as macroeconomic, business cycle, currency crisis, bankruptcy, credit scoring, stock indices, industrial indices, oil demand and supply, electricity demand and load forecasting. The following will briefly outlines the different applications discussed in 17 chapters of this book.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Using Social and Economic Indicators for Modeling, Sensitivity Analysis and Forecasting the Gasoline Demand in the Transportation Sector: An ANN Approach in case study for Tehran metropolis

Compared to the conventional methods, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are considered to be one of the reliable tools for modeling of complex phenomena such as demand. Aim of this study is to provide a model for gasoline demand in transportation section of Tehran metropolis through multilayered perceptron neural network and using the presented model in analyzing the sensitivity of the model to ...

متن کامل

Equity Premium Predictions with Adaptive Macro Indices

Fundamental economic conditions are crucial determinants of equity premia. However, commonly used predictors do not adequately capture the changing nature of economic conditions and hence have limited power in forecasting equity returns. To address the inadequacy, this paper constructs macro indices from large datasets and adaptively chooses optimal indices to predict stock returns. I find that...

متن کامل

Macro-Economic Forecasting and Modelling

Confidence in macro-economic forecasting has periodically been punctured by episodes of economic turbulence and concomitant predictive failure. The poor performance in predicting the consumer boom in the late 1980’s, and the depth and duration of the recession in the 1990’s, can be viewed as merely the latest examples in a catalogue of failures, with noteworthy antecedents including the under-p...

متن کامل

Predicting Iran's economic growth rate using meta-analysis method

One of the most important issues for governments to maintain and improve their position in the regional and global economy is the state of economic growth; one of the important issues in this situation is to predict the rate of economic growth. Proper forecasting of economic growth has very important effects on government policy and economic planning, and can help policymakers decide on future ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014